Bitcoin at $1.6 million in 2036? Bitwise raises its forecast

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How high can Bitcoin climb? The American asset manager Bitwise revises its forecasts upwards. In a report published this Wednesday, he estimates that BTC could reach $1.6 million by 2036, compared to 1.3 million in his previous projections.

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Matt Hougan, Bitwise's chief investment officer, discusses institutional adoption, more favorable regulation and growing demand for assets that serve as stores of value, such as gold.

Bitcoin is better positioned today than at any other time in its history. We are raising our ten-year price target from $1.3 million to $1.6 million.

The company, which manages more than $14 billion in assets across a range of more than 70 financial products, notably believes that the markets accessible to Bitcoin could significantly expand over the next decade.

To achieve this goal, Bitwise anticipates compound annual growth of 34.3% over ten years. A return that would put Bitcoin ahead of major traditional asset classes, including US stocks and private equity.

The price of Bitcoin is currently around $80,500, or approximately 36% below its record of $126,116 reached on October 6, 2025. To reach $1.6 million, its price would therefore have to be multiplied by almost 20.

Bitwise estimates that institutional investors could devote between 1% and 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin. According to the manager, these allocations would represent between $1,500 and $7,000 billion in potential demand, facing a supply limited to 21 million BTC.

Despite these optimistic forecasts, Bitwise does not anticipate a continued rise. The report forecasts an average volatility of 27.8% over the decade, compared to 32.9% in its previous estimates.

The manager also expects significant, but progressively less violent, corrections as Bitcoin gains maturity.

Three major risks could nevertheless call this scenario into question: progress in quantum computing, likely to threaten network cryptography, mathematical advances enabled by artificial intelligence and tougher regulations.

Remember, however, that Bitwise, whose activity is based in particular on investment products in cryptocurrencies, has a commercial interest in seeing the crypto market increase in value. Its objective of $1.6 million therefore constitutes a scenario, and not a guarantee of return.

Machine-translated from French